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2023 Predictions

2023 Predictions

Yang SpeaksGo to Podcast Page

Andrew Yang, Zach Graumann
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13 Clips
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Jan 2, 2023
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Episode Transcript
0:00
Over under over under. I'll bet you a boba tea 15. Is that feel right to said it. Okay, I take the under on that. You take you under on 15. Yeah,
0:11
well, well, to in your favor in the Democratic primary that I was in the number was, like, 22, 23, that's why the 23 is going to
0:19
go more but the Republicans are a little. There's Trump and DeSantis in there. They're better about falling in line. But who knows we'll find out is probably a better at like 12:00 but no I think you're I don't know. Let's try 15. So
0:29
happen.
0:52
Happy New Year everybody. It's me and Zach ringing in
0:57
2023. It's good to be back. I think I don't know if I'll be on once a month but this Cadence isn't bad. Every once in a while. Come pop my face on like special occasions. Special against as elections New Year's Eve election. Yeah, the brand new year. The best year yet. Will it be the best year Zach and I are going to chew over some predictions for the New Year in particular
1:22
We're going to talk about the 2024 presidential race. I know, I know you're like, oh, shit, how can we be talking about the 2024 presidential race when 2023 is just beginning. But the fact is most of what you think of as the 2024 race will probably happen in 2023. You know, like that the parties are going to be settling on nominees, not not entirely, but may be entirely. So that's what we're going to talk
1:50
about everybody needs. This is the
1:52
Most important thing. Everyone needs to know that this year, the Backstreet Boys have dropped a Christmas album. You're welcome, forward listeners. I haven't reserved. I've only listened to songs. I've just discovered this. I'm sharing with the world, but they're not bad so far. Let you know, I'll let you know.
2:10
So Zach 2023 is now, two days old. What do you predict for the year ahead? I will get us started. I think there's going to be a recession in 2023.
2:22
Induced by the fed and tightening and higher interest rates, and everything else magnitude of recession dunno. But I think there is at a minimum, a mild recession. There are a lot of businesses, I know that are cutting back, there are a lot of businesses that are cutting back public lie. You put it all together. And I think that we experience like a non-trivial contraction. Certainly a technical recession in 2023 so planet.
2:52
Cordially everybody.
2:53
Yeah, I think that's that's not a certainty, but I think that's going to happen. It's probably not going to be as bad as we think. Given that everyone's like, it's gonna be bad, it's gonna be bad, it's going to be bad, it's gonna be bad, but that seemed to be having my question actually going to be with you think it's a recession or a depression like there are certain
3:11
High-profile figures that have given us catastrophic warnings Jeff Bezos being one, there's been a number. Now a lot of them are just kind of complaining about interest rates, being too high but I don't know. I don't know if you think I do thoughts on how you said. You don't know the magnitude, we probably have some thoughts. You think of you think it's going to be more on the like yeah, that wasn't so bad. Or oh boy. We underestimated that.
3:33
I think it is likely to be.
3:38
Non-trivial. So, we say know that there are a lot of excesses still. I was talking to a guy who runs, frankly, a large investment business where he makes bets on stocks and whatnot. And he says that because interest rates have been so low for so long. Essentially, a let's call it a decade of really low rates that there are entire business models that are
4:08
Are essentially predicated on having access to money at near zero and then being able to generate returns at a certain level. And those businesses, no longer makes sense. When interest rates are as high as they are. And so have those businesses all just going out of business. No. Are they going to go out of business at some point? Yes. So these are there like, entire segments of the market that fall into that
4:37
category, I think.
4:38
You're right? I don't, um,
4:41
Nervous for it. I'm nervous for the millions of Americans that will hit really, really hard. It's a couple of cutting back. We've had a lot. We've had up, we had a good run, you know, it's time to dial
4:53
back. I mean, like, big picture, people talk about greed, versus fear, or risk on versus risk off. I see. 2023 is like a building year where I would not be super aggressive that that put like that that's just
5:11
You know, it's just Andrew Yang's feeling on the economic headwinds and Tailwinds.
5:18
Okay. What
5:21
do you have for Zach? I'll start my first one.
5:24
We're going to see a war play out in media that Elon Musk has now started. It's going to be between our establishment versus mainstream journalists and now that has been happening, obviously, it was evident when we were running but it's going to Peak this year.
5:42
You're going to see. I think broadcast and mainstream media are going to decline rapidly in their numbers and I think you're going to see bigger Outlets start to grow faster and I think I think Twitter accelerates that or just like divides that I think it becomes one of the issues that divides this country as Elon Musk himself as the figurehead of it. But this kind of
6:07
Free speech tech censorship mainstream versus independent free journalists. I can't no one. I don't I'm this is a broad prediction, but something that Lanes me very, very, very polarizing. If not essential election issue and in
6:22
2003 well, it is kind of interesting where you now are, do have essentially, if you're not mainstream then then you're in this other bucket of somehow controversial. Barry Weiss. Who started the Free Press?
6:36
Yeah.
6:37
Good for her, our friend,
6:38
Barry and exciting. Yeah, and I think that there's going to be a lot of appetite for that sort of thing. Is that what you're
6:45
predicting? Yeah, I'm predicting whether the Free Press is. I mean, I think will be a number of them, like, even, I don't even love these guys but stuff it's not called sema4 is what it's called was a number of
6:58
begin spreading some. Before I thought
6:59
semaphore, it's Dave waggle and BuzzFeed been and a few others have gone. There's a good Venture backing and
7:07
On that project to and their little more establishment, D Vibes. But even those, I just think it's,
7:15
dude, I thought you would think you're talking more you to burry than the
7:18
no. I agree. My point is like the even the Main Street even your Dave, Weigel's are working for new types of companies, right? Like new little more independent, they have more freedom. So that would like that. Like that's not the ones I think are going to kick butt, but I think even like, that's a Telltale sign. I think it comes to a head. I don't know how
7:37
But it's gonna be politicized because these that is my point that the mainstream media outlets and reporters that have these big Twitter followings and they work for the times and the post and the journal, whatever it is, they're not going down without a fight, you
7:49
know. It's, it is going to be a theme of 2023 man. That's not bad. All right, I've got a prediction that without we can then talk about at some length, I think Joe Biden declares himself to be running for re-election this year and I think that takes place in
8:07
Second quarter of 2023. Now, Joe Biden has already taken a whole series of steps essentially inoculating himself for many challenges. In the Democratic primary. The single biggest move was putting South Carolina first, and if you remember South Carolina's, the reason why Joe won the nomination James Clyburn saying go for Joe and then Colin biology. Yeah, we
8:29
talked about that on your podcast yet. Like, Iowa, getting the boot from the
8:33
Democrats not really so so so
8:37
Now, could Joe be doing this just to thank South Carolina independent of his run? Sure. Does it make a swell non competitive landscape for him if he decides to run for re-election? Yes, it does. Iowa has
8:53
Iowa earned the right to be the first date. Again, I think that answer is overwhelmingly no, right?
9:01
So the tough part here to Zach is that Republicans are keeping Iowa. So you're seeing the
9:07
Containers until Red State. Yeah. It's and it's a red State now to true. So, the two counters are diverging for those of you who aren't up on this, the new Democratic order. Pending some challenges and changes and whatnot is South Carolina, won, Nevada, New Hampshire, the same day to Georgia three or four depending on how you want to look at it and then Michigan five. And so that's the new Dem order pending.
9:36
New Hampshire, might try and jump the line. They have a state law saying they have to go first. So if they decide to go first, then they might get doc delegates or something or other, I will suggest that if New Hampshire does vote the same day as Nevada. The New Hampshire is going to get somewhat overlooked at me because demand is just a bigger State and it's got more more votes and more delegates and it does have more diverse populations and so people will discount New Hampshire, if New Hampshire goes the same day as Nevada, New Hampshire.
10:07
Probably knows this. And so that's why they're going to try and go first. But again, in this rule, South Carolina supposed to go first, so that's the new Democratic calendar. And it's very good for Joe, Joe is feeling great given that he kept the Senate and lost the house, only by a few seats even while most people expected a republican wave. So if you're Joe Biden, are you really going to step aside? At this point we're going to look around and be like, look at all my great.
10:36
It's why let there be this massive scrum that no one knows who's going to emerge from? How about I just run again? And by all accounts, Jill Biden has warm to this idea. They're going to talk it over and over. The holidays are going to dilly-dally a little bit but I think Joe declares himself to be running and then I think you're going to see every Democrat Under the Sun say, great decision. Joe, we're behind you all the way
11:04
do you. There's a lot of
11:07
In fact they're so let's do it, do you?
11:10
I'll start with this one. I'll start with, just Joe himself. Do you think it's because he knows Trump's running and that he's the only one. We've been able weaving. That's called the Democrats have been able to roster that can beat him, who's proven to beat him.
11:24
Well, that's been the rationale for a long time which is, I must defeat Trump. I'm the only one who can do it. There's a strange Dynamic building now, though, which is that Trump actually is the most beatable.
11:38
Republican nominee by the numbers right now where where Joe beats Trump in a head-to-head by I think it's six or seven points right now and that margins, you know, like misleading because it just boils down to the swing States and that's going to be a lot closer there mean. You're just because Joe runs up the score and certain boost, it doesn't matter. But but the the same poll had Joe losing to DeSantis by several points. So there would be like it actually
12:08
Will one of the beauties of the two-party system is, you'd wind up with a lot of Democrats rooting for Trump because he's weaker
12:17
and think you can have them for money and no him winning and then
12:20
or do something, you know, the 2008 Trump again, against the field,
12:26
you know. I think it's, I think this is generic like, look, if your team damn, you love Joe and everything he does is great. But if you're, you know, you're independent or your moderate in, some of these paths, is I think a vote for Joe compared to traditional
12:38
Trump is usually the vote for like, you know, it's essentially a pro-democracy, vote many ways or just, you know, or Pro like, sanity in the office and keep the institutions whole, right? And you really everyone, I think it deep down. Knows they're voting for Democratic Consultants deep down, which is better than the chaos that comes with Trump in their eyes.
13:04
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14:04
Now.
14:15
Well, so, I mean so this is the truth of it. Zack. Is that a lot of Democrats are comfortable with Jose age, even if they like Joe Independence, very uncomfortable with Jose age, like your average Americans like, okay, regardless, what I think about this dude, he'll be 82 at the end of 2024, if I am, doesn't
14:33
for his spry, right?
14:35
Yeah. He's like a non medical miracle. He's like a, you know, like a like a I mean he's in a he's an above average. 80 year old,
14:44
you know.
14:45
Fast, right? Like he looks good. Well
14:47
realistically, I mean you know I
14:49
could only plead phone off bikes and stuff. He's you know he's I mean I
14:52
can only hope that I'm like, you know, like doing well. I'm like Joe Biden. Yeah, yeah, yeah. I'll take it, I'll take whatever time that that said. Like, I don't expect it be running for president. Two years later, still
15:05
working that hard shoot me. Just
15:07
welcome is one of the things that I've come close to saying in some public setting Zach is that if I'm still trying to
15:15
Stay on stage past a certain age. Someone just, you know, drag me off immediately. And by the way, you know, Joe Biden. When he showed up at the ripe old age of 29, when he was first, running his entire thing was generational change. And so, I mean, sure, you
15:32
gonna tell us what the point is. Like they're not fighting for anybody anymore, they're just loving the power and wealth and
15:36
well, you know, is that come with it? You know, it is unclear. Who his successor is? I mean, and we all know that, that Kamala polls.
15:44
Yes. Now, the next question,
15:46
Who do you think comma Pete who's gonna
15:47
run? So if Joe declares, which I expect him to every establishment, Democrat will fall in line and say, Joe is our guy, a lot of Americans will be like, well Joe was our guy but he's going to be 82 at the end of 24. And if I vote for him, I have this very uncomfortable feeling that I'm really voting for his peepee or a successor, which by the way added layer of complexity, I think will become a law again, because if he runs
16:15
As for re-election and says hey it's not common, let someone else it's going to be a slap in the face for certainly Kamala herself but then you know like voters of color and women of color and and so he's if he runs again and I'll say hey it's me and Kamala again and then a lot of Americans would be like, wait a minute. Does this mean I'm actually voting for president Harris because the odds of you making it through your second term, you know, middling at best and that there's
16:45
To be a real discomfort with voting. In an 82 year old would be by a really substantial margin easily the oldest person ever to be in office. But all of that said, every establishment Democrat will just Pile in and say, hey, we're Team Joe, all the way. And then it's a question, whether the media would say, what, the average American will be thinking, which is, hey, this guy's really old. But this is what I expect to take hold as
17:15
The the process starts to
17:18
unfold, this leads me to my third prediction and then this will be good. I predict or there's my second prediction. Sorry, my I predict that Ron DeSantis runs and wins in 2024 and in his early prediction. So I'm probably gonna hate on Twitter but I think he runs in wins but
17:34
could very well be right? So 2023 I for a long time thought that Ron running against Trump was something that might or might not happen because it's a very big bet and he had to sit out.
17:45
Out a cycle and then we
17:47
have about it just weeks ago and you're like does make any sense for him.
17:49
Yeah. And by the way, by all accounts also is like legislative session until March. And so he's not going to make any decisions before then. But I now think that it's more likely than not that he does run and to your point right now, he's ahead of trump in the polls, the problem for Ron, and maybe for the country is that it's not going to be head-to-head though. Republican debates in 20
18:14
16 started in August. There were no Republican debates in 2020 because they just did away with the primary for Trump's re-election, by the way. Something that most people do not remember is that Trump had several opponents for the Republican nomination in 2020, William William weld, Joe Walsh. So how the people tried to run against him? So why are you like, oh, I don't remember that. I don't remember any debates and the reason was that the RNC just pulled the plug of the
18:43
Whole process. The the state's just canceled our boat and they said, we essentially, this is our King. But yeah, there there is no primary. And so, then the, the folks were running against him. We're like WTF, I said on CNN like a number weeks ago that the Democrats will prolly do the same shit in in this cycle where it Joe says, hey, I'm running and then. So what I said on air was like, look, if Nina Turner and Marianne Williamson running against Joe,
19:14
There is no way that the Democrats are going to make Joe debate them five or six times.
19:19
It's just not going to have one or two,
19:21
the or I don't even sure of those one, you know. One thing I can very easily see them saying is like, you know, in order to have a debate or to make this debate, you have to be pulling at 20%, there's move the goal post. And then if like, you know, Nina or Mary Ann gets above 20%, they'd be like we meant 30. Like whatever the number you have it's like we meant 10% more and and that that is process and stuff.
19:44
I think that the Democrats would just keep moving the goal post and the Republicans move the goalposts in 2020 and no one remember like everyone does no one cared. So and the Democrats would be like nothing to see here and do the same thing especially because every establishment Dem would be on team Joe. And then the only people that would challenge him would be the Nina Turner, Zoom area Williamson's who would be like hey true democracy? Let the people speak and the DNC would be like, no, no. Like, you know that like, you know,
20:13
My voice we can hear is is the presidents.
20:25
So with that as the timeline, let's say the Republican primary debates, start same time. The cycle in August, you're going to have probably one Republican a month declare throughout 2023 leading out
20:42
over that first activate when you are a baby Politico is going to be
20:45
lit. So this month there's going to be someone to Claire February, another Claire. Like some of them are going to try and hold off because they are trying to organize others want to go early.
20:54
So they get some
20:55
shine over under over under. I'll
20:58
bet you supposed to be fun. Probity back. That's fine. Race takes over
21:01
under
21:04
15. Is that feel right? To said it. Okay, I take the under on that. You take you under on 15. Yeah.
21:13
I'll take the over.
21:14
Is it, does it though? This would be fun probity. Bet, that's fine. So here are some names for people to consider that that that, that I think are
21:22
running is probably a better at like 12:00, but no, I think you're, I don't know. Let's try 15 so
21:26
happens. Well, well, to in your favor, in the Democratic primary that I was in the number was like, 22. 23. Yeah, that's why. The 23 is going to
21:35
go more but the Republicans are a little. There's Trump and DeSantis in there. They're better about falling in line. But who knows, we'll find out. Go ahead. So I so, so
21:43
Here who I think runs in some form or fashion Mike Pompeo. Yeah Mike Pence. Yeah Chris Christie yeah. Larry Hogan Tulsi gabbard Nikki Haley, Francis Suarez.
22:03
Ron DeSantis Tim Scott.
22:08
Mmm, Donald Trump that gets you to 10. And so that that's that's approximately the field, I think we're looking
22:18
at actually 15 is good because, you know, there's going to be three like, who the hell are you, right? Who's the guy in Virginia? That one young kid. The thing is Governor's a good gig Governor's, good gig. So why don't I use a
22:29
new governor? He's also going to be one of the Next Generation but Glenn young can apparently, didn't think he was going to run for governor and then he woke up one morning.
22:37
Morning and was like, I'm running for governor and then he ran for governor James. And so he just hasn't had that Epiphany where president is concerned, is what I heard last time. He just he says, like, look, I just wake up one morning being like, I'm running for president and I'm doing and he's like, no, I haven't woken up with that feeling at
22:52
got. He's Rich enough to do it. You have to be very rich or have a really good idea to do or I know you have be very rich do that or do what you didn't start very
22:59
early. So here's the Trump argument.
23:02
He only got about 35 percent of the vote in the early States in 16. So, if he can hold onto even 30% and the field looks like what I just described, he probably wins because you'd have nine candidates splitting. Maybe, you know, someone will drop out before the voting starts. So you can have like five candidates splitting the non-trump vote. So if Trump has 30%, then number two probably has 20 percent. And then, you know, Trump
23:32
Um, wins. If you have a hardcore 30%, by the way, something like ranked Choice, voting would fix all this, but whatever.
23:38
Oh, yeah, but we don't forget Solutions. This is our reality. So this is DeSantis has 90 million left on hand, which is ridiculous because we raised 40 and change, right? Like imagine would go down with 90 on day one. Yeah,
23:53
so the Santa's does have some so you saw the Santa's you so you saw the same to speak, right? Yeah. Yeah. Well, speak. What?
24:02
What were your
24:03
impressions DeSantis is these it. Can he compelling the Sanchez? Yes is a very very talented politician. He's very, very top speaker, he understands. And this is the thing that that I will say about the scientists, love him or hate him. I don't want to be make my own opinion on them. It's just, he understands the media today and he can do it in a way, that's very trumpian, but not Trump, not an actual asshole. I mean, you could call my actual a stuff, you know, him and other things, but he's not
24:32
This unhinged caricature of a human being that is Donald Trump. He's at is like, it's all that bottled into an effective politician, so, you know, yeah, he's compelling. He's looking fine. I
24:46
haven't seen most of these characters speak including does the Santa? So I don't have an eye.
24:51
Well then, I will say he will like, he's gonna get scrutinize. The way you never has been before, because right now, it's just like hated on by the press and does his stuff in Florida. He's in a bit of a nerd, he's like,
25:02
Like he's not I think people the right sock, what a badass, just Sanchez like he's a nerd like he's like a kind of a wonky type. I mean that, like with some effect I'm not, he's a
25:12
Harvard Law, guys. So he's kind of got that
25:14
wiring, but he's very smart and he knows how to push back on the media. And like, you know, for those of you that are liberal at listeners podcast, like he bumped the minimum wage up in Florida, he put a lot of money to work on climate change in the State of Florida. One of the most probably the biggest
25:32
States are biggest Mass spending on climate change from a government state government, United States. So, there's some things he does that the moderate left or even the far left. Would really like, so that's where I look. He's if you're Trump, you should be scared. If you're buying, you should be scared. He's an effective politician. That's why he's my prediction. I think he's really talented. Well I got not ignore policy, you know and a lot of people hate him and I don't mean to piss
25:53
people, he's got the resources, he's got the name ID, I think it was one-on-one him versus trumpy wins.
26:02
You know, the one of his problems is that Chris Christie and Larry Hogan. I believe we're both running and they're both Governors who have track records that they can point. I mean, much more, Larry Hogan, Larry Hogan, those are very, very popular, governor of a blue state, Maryland. And I have met with Larry Hogan. He's very talented, and smart, and genuine and winning. Chris Christie was actually much more talented speaker than you'd imagine.
26:32
Like having watched him work a crowd and draw them.
26:36
So you guys for lunch, right? It's just, I don't think Elite DeSantis. I don't know if he can defeat Haley, either the
26:42
strong Haley's, very, very talented by all accounts. So you're going to have a bunch of people in this race and Trump's launch has been a dud and you know that the single biggest problem for Trump, that I felt immediately was that running for president for real.
27:02
Is a lot of energy and do you think that Trump will have the energy to sit to run around for 14 months until the voting starts? The early answers? Are? He does not seem to. And, and so, you know, I think it's one reason why some people are trying to time their launch in a particular way because you need to Peak in February of 24, when for them, their voting starts in Iowa. So,
27:32
so to recap a little bit, you have in my opinion, Joe Biden, on one side and then you're going to have this relatively robust Republican field on the other end. Zach thinks that DeSantis emerges. I think that right now you'd have to put DeSantis as the favorite
28:01
It's interesting because it's like the mainstream media woke up and they realize if we just don't talk about him. Things are great. The only if you look up what if you Google Donald Trump or if you see Donald Trump in the news? Now the only really tied to it is he's either getting sued by somebody or he's losing in the polls. Now, Twitter is a factor there because reporters are always on Twitter and they used to just write about his tweets and so that is a thing. Barry Weiss just released for those of you maybe not on Twitter.
28:30
You on as like released, basically the inner workings of Twitter during the 2012 election essentially and some other times it specifically that the decision to ban Trump, it's wild, Barry Weiss has it and they have to release it on Twitter but Barry Weiss is thread on what they did 2D platformer Trump from from the platform or from Twitter is crazy. But I can't imagine like having worked at a big company UBS before. I can't imagine.
29:01
In our chats being aired out like dirty laundry to the
29:05
dude. Yeah. I mean seriously. But yeah, or text messages. I mean we all do. Yeah. And DM. Just the most random rancid shit and then imagine them being put out for public consumption and be like these were our like do what they were thinking. It's like, oh my gosh, I don't like
29:22
that. I do great. I understand it because they made when they D platform, the leader of the Free World at the time or I guess you had lost but still and I don't agree with that.
29:30
Maybe if you look, they've kept a lot of awful people on their platform for the record. I think that's one of the big ones. People don't always realize and Barry outlines are really well. So it
29:43
is, so you're saying, if Trump comes back on Twitter and might help change the
29:46
dynamic, it certainly would help change that the media, the mainstream. It is funny
29:50
reflecting upon how dominant he was coming up in 2016 and then really through his loss in 2020 now.
30:00
He's not on Twitter meaningfully you know even though he's been re re in so
30:06
I guess he has been he's welcome back now, right?
30:09
Oh yeah, he could tweet but he hasn't good because his financial fortunes are tied to propping up this truth social.
30:15
And this is, this is kind of a butt joint. My first prediction is like, I think if Trump has success in the primary and and as a candidate here, it will make this mainstream versus Outsider particularly the media. Like
30:30
Right, and Center in this race. If like, he can rally supporters without anyone and mainstream media, including the right really is not really covering that much and no Twitter, No. Anything. We're in a new world, you know. I don't think it's, I don't think it's gonna be possible like it wrong,
30:46
some other predictions for 2023, and I'm going to have some fun, I'm going to be a little bit rapid-fire. I think the Third Way in American politics. The this
30:57
New pathway actually becomes stronger and clearer to more and more people. And I think that the presidential field he'll actually helps, because if I'm right, and Joe runs there going to be a lot of people who aren't that pumped about either Joe or whoever they thinks going to emerge from the Republican field. You know, if it was Trump, which is still a possibility by the way. Yeah. Fifty fifty. Eight percent of Americans. Don't want either of those choices.
31:27
And, and so you'd have the average American does looking around being like, okay, what are my other choices? I think that's going to be something that that becomes a thing. The forward party who's a prediction will get recognition in 20-plus States in 2022. Now, very excited about that. Yeah, that's exciting. So, we'll be building out the, the new approach to American politics. Please do check it out at Ford party.com. It's a very self-serving prediction, but what can I say also,
31:57
The put you a little bit on the spot, but I predict that Zakir launches a company. That's very exciting. And we'll have to talk to him about this exciting company. And I predict that I will have a new book project come out, sometime in 2023, it's not going to be until the fall, but I did something fun with a collaborator that we're hoping to get out into the world tour.
32:27
The end of this year. I know these are like predictions that I know are true so sorry about that everyone don't have some fun you know these are these
32:33
are teasers brother. You are just teasing cool shit you're working on which is I think fine but you know you can't be wrong on stuff like this.
32:44
I predict Zack gets married. I predict I stay
32:46
married. Get married predicted
32:48
my right. My children get a one year older
33:02
I have I have one more prediction is a little out there which is a take is that there's been plenty of web three companies right now but I don't think web 3 is mainstream at all. I think it's made me around cryptocurrencies and these changes my prediction is that a mainstream web three.
33:20
Unicorn starts to take off in 2023 where folks like my mother and I casual friends who don't really know what aetherium is ETC. Start to use web three. I think this is the year where like the equivalent of a Facebook for web three. I'm not saying it's a social media company but something where it's widely used starts to get legs. I don't have to, you know, that Facebook growth but it starts to really take
33:46
off. Well, the the big problem with web three has been that the primary uses.
33:50
Has been Financial speculation, which is not great at. So I advise a company called pool that is using web three to give people ownership of their own data. And it's going to kick off in Earnest in 2023 in the EU because the EU has rules that that kick in which give you the right to adapt to have custodianship of your own data and appoint a surrogate or proxy to negotiate for you or two.
34:20
Care of your data. So pool is enabling an infrastructure where you can make those determinations and then create data unions. And the hope is that they can bring it over to the US. The EU just has these rules that are in place. There's not a real National approach to it in the u.s. because of our oh, so enlightened government. That doesn't know what the fuck is doing and anything data related, or technology. And so they just let the companies do whatever the hell you want. But that's an example of an application where it doesn't. You don't need to even understand web 3.
34:50
Li you can just be like, hey, do you want, do you want your own data? Do you want to go with you, wherever you go? Do you want some money for it? And then people be like, yes. So the folks in the EU will be able to do that. That's not going to, you know, I mean, most people that the u.s. won't care until it's here obviously, but that's an example of something that could happen in the months to
35:11
come. I think it's closed, there is a lot of in the driver of this prediction is that it's a recession and that and Venture money has dried.
35:20
Up. I mean there's a lot of that out there but it's not going to you're not seeing the ridiculous valuations. We were seeing, you know, twenty twenty and twenty nineteen twenty Twenty-One. So I think really good companies. Start when times are tight. So that's, I think, and I think a lot of resources have gone into web 3. So I think you'll start to see some traction there. That's my big, I don't know. That's a big take, but maybe it is.
35:43
Well, you know, I hope you're right man. Again, because Financial speculation is now what these tools optimally could be used for.
35:50
Or mean it's a sign of the times that like that's the first use that. I've even got excited about. Here's a question. I
35:55
have for you, Andrew, let's say it's DeSantis. You can pick Hayley, you pick any of them but like a non-trump verse Biden. What's the messaging? What do you think the left dies on what you think? The right dies on like the hills that they died on and that because that's the going to be the central issue of the next probably won't toys for, but it's going to start heating up in 2023.
36:20
You know, it's funny because I said it before, I think that Biden's foil is Trump in the sense that like, you know, hey, I'm B in help. You make things normal again. And then if you put Biden up against de santis, or a Haley, or Ascot or any of these other characters, then buys this can seem really old and, and, and that's not a great contrast. So, you're going to see a total demonization of whoever, Joe's opponents are,
36:48
if it's the Santa's you're gonna have like the
36:50
Mainstream message. Police anti woke movement from the right in addition to I think you're going to see a lot of Reagan messaging that's like smaller government lower taxes, tough on crime because those things are all like, the by Administration has spent a lot of money crime is up. Government is Big. The economy is not great. So I think that's where you go on the left. I'm not sure, it'll be somewhat of the keep this soul of America going to
37:20
Dust because the right is evil, I think that's probably
37:23
what. That's what I'm saying, is just going to become very oppositional.
37:26
Last Prediction, I have is in 2023.
37:29
Buffalo Bills becomes a bowl
37:30
champions, the Buffalo Bills, win the Super Bowl. We're going to go to Glendale Arizona, we're going to be probably the Philadelphia Eagles and raise the Lombardi for the first time. Buffalo history assume amazing. I'm going to be there. I'll be crying grown, man. Crying like baby. And then I might get a tattoo or not sure. Carly my
37:50
on say tracks, my blood pressure a bit, when I watch a Bills game and it
37:54
It's bikes, it's not good, it's not good. And she's like, that's like a monitor, but she can just tell that I'm
37:59
well, you know, it's gonna Spike when they win the Super Bowl to man. So good luck to you. You've
38:03
enjoyed that one moment is
38:05
I'm going to keep going with this right now. I have to say the Celtics when the NBA title,
38:12
Zelda is look good, man. They're mad.
38:14
You know, they lost the finals, they're bad, they're young, they're letting their Scrappy. I think they can win the East. I think they can win the whole thing. I mean, in the west, jeez, man.
38:24
And I mean, the Warriors seem vulnerable, but then they came out of nowhere and wanted last year. I don't know what's going on in the west. As I
38:30
step to go against the Warriors, you know, Celtics Warriors. I don't know enough about the MBA to make smart takes, but the Celtics do look good.
38:38
Here's a big prediction for 2024.
38:42
At least one more u.s. Senator declares their independence from the two major parties joining kyrsten Sinema in doing so, who's it going to be here to very, very big possibilities. Joe manchin. The Manch recently said no guarantee he stays a Democrat up for re-election, in 2024, in West Virginia, which is a state that Trump won by 38 points. So how popular is it to be a democrat in West Virginia. Not very so you could see,
39:11
See, Joe manchin, join kyrsten, Sinema, and being an independent who else might become an independent Lisa murkowski out of Alaska? Doesn't have to face re-election for six years. Might this might have been her last race and if she's an independent she gets to do what she wants. Gets to be incredibly influential. Oh, by the way they got rid of party, primaries and Alaska and she just fended off a trump, endorsed Challenger. And
39:41
Most of the people who voted for her, I'm going to say we're probably Independence or moderates any way, including some Democrats, she and Mary Pell Toula, the Democrat cross endorsed each other. So if you're Lisa murkowski, do you really owe the Republican Party? A whole? Heck of a lot at this point. No. So you're going to see yet another independent US senator. And then if you do the math on that, depending upon who it is, you could wind up with those independent Senators being vital to get anything done in the Senate. Any approvals appointments
40:12
Certainly laws though, you know, like they'll I'm hesitating on that because another prediction for 2024 you're going to see a real mess in the House of Representatives in terms of their ability to pass legislation. You have a republican majority of five seats but this Republican majority does not get along at all. Like you have folks like Marjorie Taylor green and Lauren Bo bird over on the side just jumping up and down and then you have
40:41
Folks, who are a lot more reasonable than that. So they're going to have a really hard time getting any legislation across the finish line, and it's going to be up to the Democrats, whether they want to bail them out and get them some votes on various things, it's going to be, it's not going to be a good legislative environment and the Republicans aren't really into passing shit anyway. So, so you're going to see some very, very strange Dynamics coming out, but not a whole lot of legislation because
41:12
the the polarization unfortunately going to get the better of it
41:14
three independent centers that's great. And you know that means is that means because it's going to be split in. This is going to be a fragmented power. You'll probably have 10 like wishy-washy Senators, if you will, where there's you know
41:25
you're going to you're going to wind up with, by the way, there's actually some scuttlebutt to like I think there are some folks trying to work on some kind of fulcrum in the Senate that extends to both art
41:36
and caucus. Maybe it's the forward caucus. Who knows?
41:38
Yeah, maybe who knows. But, you know, there might be a couple of card-carrying
41:41
Dependence in there.
41:42
Got to be a wild, you're gonna be a great
41:44
year. Yes, happy 2023 rv1. May it be the best year yet. You know, there's a lot of like, blah, blah blah in the world. But the most important thing is that you approach it with confidence and enthusiasm and optimism. Just take care of yourself. Compass your goals, fuck the noise. Fuck the stuff that's out there. As long as you're taking care of your family, your business, Your Love
42:11
Good ones. It's all to the good and then we're just going to build build build and then people who are on the outside being like, oh, what are you doing over there? You, you know, Beaver conscientious Builders whatever and then they come back and guess what? Hoover
42:24
Dam? Love each other, y'all. We love you guys. Have a great 2023.
42:30
Happy New Year, everybody.
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